Independent probability research
Sports picks. Kalshi research. A record you can inspect.
Get model-driven selections with the available confidence, edge, price, and reasoning. Start with a Free account, then choose the access that fits you. You decide whether to act; Prognostication does not place trades.
How to get started
From research to your own decision.
Start Free
Create a Free account without entering payment details. Free membership gives you access to the Free picks.
Read the selection
Review the event, selection, and any supplied confidence, edge, and market price. Check the methodology when a field is unfamiliar.
Check the market
For Kalshi selections, confirm the YES/NO side, current contract price, fees, and settlement rules on Kalshi. Stored prices are not live quotes.
Review the results
Inspect the settled record. Upgrade only if the additional Pro or Elite access fits your needs; no membership guarantees a winning result.
Built for scrutiny.
Learn what confidence and edge mean, how prices can change, and how settled results are counted. Missing information is labeled as unavailable.